Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.069716 0.077311 0.085645 0.095514 0.106941 0.119827 0.135555
2024-10-06 0.058895 0.069303 0.081675 0.097656 0.118037 0.143552 0.178561
2024-10-13 0.050021 0.061486 0.075956 0.095955 0.123530 0.161246 0.218675
2024-10-20 0.044653 0.056893 0.073134 0.096922 0.132077 0.184255 0.272139
2024-10-27 0.040074 0.052537 0.069754 0.096211 0.137685 0.203827 0.326063
2024-11-03 0.037032 0.049807 0.068109 0.097507 0.146243 0.229628 0.399055
2024-11-10 0.034509 0.047457 0.066613 0.098628 0.154501 0.256673 0.484648
2024-11-17 0.032042 0.044891 0.064419 0.098187 0.159823 0.279487 0.570960
2024-11-24 0.030271 0.043177 0.063310 0.099314 0.168069 0.310068 0.690197
2024-12-01 0.028737 0.041665 0.062328 0.100456 0.176474 0.343282 0.835095
2024-12-08 0.027332 0.040222 0.061283 0.101291 0.184367 0.377671 1.006027
2024-12-15 0.025914 0.038630 0.059809 0.101091 0.189998 0.408355 1.187953
2024-12-22 0.024440 0.036857 0.057901 0.099893 0.193447 0.435301 1.382756
2024-12-29 0.023601 0.036088 0.057697 0.102067 0.205149 0.489544 1.750111
2025-01-05 0.022282 0.034397 0.055668 0.100224 0.206865 0.515340 2.017883
2025-01-12 0.021456 0.033504 0.055030 0.101230 0.215959 0.568354 2.514318
2025-01-19 0.020483 0.032281 0.053660 0.100470 0.220322 0.607713 3.001402
2025-01-26 0.019839 0.031602 0.053272 0.101840 0.230808 0.674454 3.844209
2025-02-02 0.019222 0.030928 0.052830 0.103026 0.241109 0.746484 4.959716
2025-02-09 0.018477 0.029970 0.051743 0.102558 0.246477 0.801560 6.119734
2025-02-16 0.017952 0.029387 0.051365 0.103752 0.257291 0.888113 8.121090
2025-02-23 0.017461 0.028839 0.051012 0.104962 0.268535 0.985251 11.005157
2025-03-02 0.016971 0.028262 0.050553 0.105847 0.279013 1.087211 15.057579